How does AETA work?
How does the AETA earthquake prediction and forecasting system work?
As one of the leading technologies in forecasting earthquakes, many people ask how exactly does it work? A reason mankind has been unable to predict earthquakes is that numerous variants of data must be considered to make an accurate prediction.
These variants are very unpredictable and have led many people into believing earthquakes can’t be forecasted. However, in partnership with SVV, the AETA team has developed a 3-part-sensory system comprised of an electromagnetic sensor, an acoustic sensor, and a terminal box.
Combined, this sensor is deployed across earthquake-affected regions and collects over 95 variants of seismic data. The AETA sensors are collecting data of ‘normal’ seismic activity (meaning when no earthquakes are occurring) and seismic data before, during, and after an earthquake occurs.
With the rise of big data and AI, the AETA team has collected over 40+TB of seismic data over the past 5 years (since the sensors were deployed) and fed it into an algorithm that checks for similarities. These similarities are what determines whether an earthquake will occur.
Currently, the AETA solution has a 75% accuracy rate for the occurrence, epicenter, and magnitude of an earthquake. However, as time proceeds, the solution’s accuracy will increase due to more sensors’ deployment and the constant updates being applied to the algorithm.
Who Built the Algorithm?
Today, numerous algorithms are being used to forecast earthquakes for the AETA solution. Back in 2020 the AETA team hosted a competition, inviting research centers, universities, and students to participate in developing a more robust algorithm.
The competition attracted over 180+ teams and 60+ institutions all working toward building an accurate forecasting model. AETA provided each team with all seismic data for the teams to train their algorithms. Once their algorithms were trained, they were given live data throughout the year making their forecasts accordingly.
After the 2020 competition, 12 teams prevailed in achieving expected results, catapulting AETA’s solution straight into the center of earthquake forecasting.
Currently, in 2021, AETA is hosting another competition, whereby over 550+ international teams and over 100+ institutions have signed up to participate. Although the competition is ongoing, current results suggest AETA can increase the accuracy rate to over 85-90% by the end of the year.
AETA’s solution is superior technology compared to many alternatives. The team’s ambition is to deploy a global network of sensors and run earthquake forecasts across the entire globe.